Notes
Includes bibliographical references (p. 447-482) and index. , Two Systems. The characters of the story ; Attention and effort ; The lazy controller ; The associative machine ; Cognitive ease ; Norms, surprises, and causes ; A machine for jumping to conclusions ; How judgments happen ; Answering an easier question -- Heuristics and Biases. The law of small numbers ; Anchors ; The science of availability ; Availability, emotion, and risk ; Tom W's specialty ; Linda: less is more ; Causes trump statistics ; Regression to the mean ; Taming intuitive predictions -- Overconfidence. The illusion of understanding ; The illusion of validity ; Intuitions vs. formulas ; Expert intuition: when can we trust it? ; The outside view ; The engine of capitalism -- Choices. Bernoulli's errors ; Prospect theory ; The endowment effect ; Bad events ; The fourfold pattern ; Rare events ; Risk policies ; Keeping score ; Reversals ; Frames and reality -- Two Selves. Two selves ; Life as a story ; Experienced well-being ; Thinking about life -- Judgment under uncertainty -- Choices, values, and frames.
